4
Officially Yours
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 80
Thistledown · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
31%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 2.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-10 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-08-04 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-12 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-24 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-03-18 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2024 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 29/01/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 27/02/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 18/03/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 24/04/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 12/05/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 04/08/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 04/09/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |