6
Work'n On A Buzz
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 79
Thistledown · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-26 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-04 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2024 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 02/04/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 08/05/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 13% | -0.51 |
| 04/06/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 26/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 27/08/2025 | 6th | 5/4 | 93% | 17% | -0.77 |
| 25/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 13/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |