1
Calisue
6yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 82
Thistledown · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
32%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 20/12/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 05/02/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 01/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |