6
Classy Disposition
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 81
Thistledown · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength92%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 23/01/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |
| 25/02/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 14/03/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |