4

Classic David

3yo Gelding · 8-7

Thistledown · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength35%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Mahoning Valley 05/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS5/11C6C6 @ Thistledown 07/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m 119 · HIGHER CLASS7/07C6projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07Thistledown?9th6th+3
2025-11-05Mahoning Valley?11th8th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/117/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength22%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/11/202511th80/10%0%0.00
07/07/20269th20/10%11%+0.11