Worthy Of It All

3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 105

Thistledown · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼3

Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +2.5

Higher-class runs: 4

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-23	Thistledown	?	8th	5th	+3	5.0
2026-06-20	Thistledown	?	8th	5th	+3	5.0
2026-05-13	Thistledown	?	8th	5th	+3	5.0
2026-04-02	Mahoning Valley	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 8

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength16%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
02/04/2026	7th	4/1	79%	33%	-0.46
13/05/2026	8th	14/1	26%	30%	+0.04
20/06/2026	8th	14/1	26%	13%	-0.14
23/07/2026	8th	15/2	61%	0%	-0.61