8
So That's That
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 68
Thistledown · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-28 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-06 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-21 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-28 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-07 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-02-11 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2024 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 15/01/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 11/02/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 07/05/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 28/05/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 14% | -0.70 |
| 21/06/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 06/08/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 28/08/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |