3
Bigpiclittlepic
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 75
Thistledown · Race 6 - Allowance · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
50%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-05 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 5
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength23%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 06/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 27/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 13/11/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 05/01/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 04/02/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.46 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 06/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |