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2

Romanian Prince

5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 90

Thistledown · Race 6 - Allowance · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mahoning Valley 20/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 84 · 6f 124 · beat its mark20/11/2025 · OR 84 par20/11C5OR 84C5 @ Mahoning Valley 11/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 85 · 1m 126 · beat its mark11/12/2025 · OR 85 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 05/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 86 · 1m70y 124 · beat its mark05/01/2026 · OR 86 par5/01C5OR 86C5 @ Mahoning Valley 10/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 84 · 1m 124 · beat its mark10/03/2026 · OR 84 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 27/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 83 · 1m 124 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 83 par27/03C5OR 83C5 @ Mahoning Valley 10/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 86 · 1m 124 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 86 parC5 @ Thistledown 28/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 91 · 1m Fas 119 · below its mark28/04/2026 · OR 91 par28/04C5OR 91C5 @ Thistledown 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 93 · 1m Fas 119 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 93 parC5 @ Thistledown 13/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 91 · 1m 121 · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 91 par13/07C5OR 91projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Thistledown?4th4th0
2026-05-16Thistledown?1st1st0
2026-04-28Thistledown?2nd2nd0
2026-04-10Mahoning Valley?2nd2nd0
2026-03-27Mahoning Valley?2nd2nd0
2026-03-10Mahoning Valley?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1110/0328/0413/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/11/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
11/12/20253rd10/382%67%-0.16
05/01/20264th4/179%67%-0.12
10/03/20262nd10/382%80%-0.02
27/03/20262nd11/486%86%+0.00
10/04/20262nd7/491%80%-0.11
28/04/20262nd15/890%75%-0.15
16/05/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
13/07/20264th6/168%25%-0.43