2
Beaches And Pearls
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 68
Thistledown · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 10/01/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 06/02/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 25/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |