6
Bo Runkle
7yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 72
Thistledown · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
87%
Place Prob
65%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-24 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-09 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 16/09/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 07/11/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 09/12/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/12/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 13/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 05/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 23/03/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |