5
Feeling Easy
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 62
Thistledown · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength47%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 05/03/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 24/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 20/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |