6
High Ransom
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 65
Canterbury Park · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength9%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: BHA46
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-02-06 | Fair Grounds | ? | 9th | 12th | −3 |
| 2026-01-16 | Fair Grounds | ? | 10th | 13th | −3 |
| 2025-10-16 | Hawthorne | ? | 10th | 13th | −3 |
| 2025-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-08-15 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength3%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 28/06/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 13/07/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 15/08/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/08/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/10/2025 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 18% | -0.48 |
| 16/01/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 06/02/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |