3
Latin Force
5yo Horse · 8-13 · OR 84
Canterbury Park · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength7%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-07-04 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-14 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-02-13 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-01-30 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-01-09 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength57%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 12/12/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 20/12/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/01/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 30/01/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 13/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |