2
Ramblingamblinman
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 52
Canterbury Park · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-08-31 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Canterbury Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 27/07/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 17/08/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 31/08/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |