5

Way Up North
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 70
Canterbury Park · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 03/07/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 12/07/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 21/09/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |