5
How Bout That Curt
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 82
Canterbury Park · Race 3 - Victor S. Myers Stakes · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-03 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Canterbury Park | BHA72 | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-07-27 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-07-10 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 27/07/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 07/09/2025 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 03/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |