3
Perfect Gamble
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 71
Canterbury Park · Race 3 - Victor S. Myers Stakes · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: BHA41
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-03-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 24/01/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 20/03/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/04/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |