1
That Type Ofa Deal
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 55
Canterbury Park · Race 3 - Victor S. Myers Stakes · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-21 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-09-07 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength87%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |