4
Flatter Me Billy
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 78
Canterbury Park · Race 5 - Frances Genter S. Presented By Kiger Equine Insurance · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 4
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 14/08/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 21/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |