5
Private Speaker
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 66
Canterbury Park · Race 5 - Frances Genter S. Presented By Kiger Equine Insurance · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 4
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength92%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 18/09/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 02/01/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 20% | -0.68 |