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6

Angelas Party Girl

6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 77

Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Churchill Downs 15/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 90 · 1m 121 · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 90 par15/11C7OR 90C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 20/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 84 · 1m39y 120 · beat its mark20/12/2025 · OR 84 parC7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 30/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 83 · 1m39y 121 · below its mark30/01/2026 · OR 83 par30/01C7OR 83C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 18/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 79 · 1m39y Fas 121 · below its mark18/02/2026 · OR 79 parC7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 11/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 82 · 7f 118 · below its mark11/03/2026 · OR 82 par11/03C7OR 82C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 19/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 80 · 1m110y Fm 119 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 80 parC7 @ Canterbury Park 31/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 78 · 1m 123 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 78 par31/05C7OR 78C7 @ Canterbury Park 21/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 75 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 75 parC7 @ Canterbury Park 05/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 77 · 1m Gd 123 · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 77 par5/07C7OR 77projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-05Canterbury Park?4th5th−1
2026-06-21Canterbury Park?4th5th−1
2026-05-31Canterbury Park?4th5th−1
2026-04-19Tampa Bay Downs?8th9th−1
2026-03-11Tampa Bay Downs?4th5th−1
2026-02-18Tampa Bay Downs?6th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1118/0231/055/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/11/202510th20/10%10%+0.10
20/12/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
30/01/20263rd11/271%71%+0.00
18/02/20266th7/163%17%-0.46
11/03/20264th16/116%50%+0.34
19/04/20268th80/10%0%0.00
31/05/20264th5/287%25%-0.62
21/06/20264th15/261%50%-0.11
05/07/20264th6/168%25%-0.43