1
Raven's Quest
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 85
Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-30 | Turf Paradise | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Turf Paradise | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-27 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-18 | Turf Paradise | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/09/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 11/11/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 18/12/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 30/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 25% | -0.65 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |