IvyArcIvyArc
5

Sahara Kara

4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 80

Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 22/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 45 · 6f 122 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 45 par22/03C8OR 45C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 19/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 44 · 1m110y Fm 124 · beat its mark19/04/2026 · OR 44 par19/04C8OR 44C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 03/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 53 · 1m Gd 124 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 53 par3/05C8OR 53C6 @ Canterbury Park 19/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 64 · 7f110y Gd 123 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 64 par19/06C6OR 64projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-19Canterbury Park?2nd2nd0
2026-05-03Tampa Bay Downs?1st3rd−2
2026-04-19Tampa Bay Downs?6th8th−2
2026-03-22Tampa Bay Downs?6th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0319/043/0519/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/03/20266th33/10%0%0.00
19/04/20266th25/10%44%+0.44
03/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
19/06/20262nd6/168%80%+0.12