7

Mighty Madi

6yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 73

Canterbury Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength63%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Canterbury Park 01/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 68 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/06/2025 · OR 68 par1/06C6OR 68C5 @ Canterbury Park 15/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 61 · 1m Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2025 · OR 61 parC5 @ Canterbury Park 10/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 66 · 7f110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/07/2025 · OR 66 par10/07C5OR 66C6 @ Canterbury Park 04/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 70 · 1m Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/09/2025 · OR 70 parC8 @ Canterbury Park 17/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 74 · 1m70y Fm 123 · below its mark17/09/2025 · OR 74 par17/09C8OR 74C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 01/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 78 · 1m110y Fm 119 · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 78 parC5 @ Canterbury Park 25/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 70 · 1m Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/05/2026 · OR 70 par25/05C5OR 70C8 @ Canterbury Park 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 70 · 7f110y Fm 125 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 70 parC8 @ Canterbury Park 11/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 71 · 1m Fm 125 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 71 par11/07C8OR 71projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Canterbury Park?1st1st0
2026-06-21Canterbury Park?5th5th0
2026-05-25Canterbury Park?5th2nd+3
2026-05-01Tampa Bay Downs?9th9th0
2025-09-17Canterbury Park?4th4th0
2025-09-04Canterbury Park?7th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/064/0925/0511/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength72%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20258th40/10%0%0.00
15/06/20255th14/126%33%+0.07
10/07/20256th14/126%0%-0.26
04/09/20257th16/116%14%-0.02
17/09/20254th5/174%50%-0.24
01/05/20269th33/10%0%0.00
25/05/20265th10/147%0%-0.47
21/06/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
11/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18