6
Secret Victory
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 85
Canterbury Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 09/01/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 11/02/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 01/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 18/03/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |