4
Skipwineyesterday
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 77
Canterbury Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
11/10
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-30 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-04 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/03/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 15/06/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 04/07/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 30/07/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 31/08/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 08/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |