2
Tikihut
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 76
Canterbury Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
8/15
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-01-16 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 29/11/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/12/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 30/04/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |