IvyArcIvyArc
1

Frosted Peach

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 42

Canterbury Park · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Canterbury Park 16/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 5f110y 11516/08C6C6 @ Canterbury Park 18/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 28 · 5f110y Fas 118 · beat its mark18/09/2025 · OR 28 par18/09C6OR 28C6 @ Canterbury Park 11/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 35 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 35 par11/06C6OR 35C6 @ Canterbury Park 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 37 · 7f110y Fm 120 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 37 par23/07C6OR 37projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Canterbury Park?4th4th0
2026-06-11Canterbury Park?6th6th0
2025-09-18Canterbury Park?6th6th0
2025-08-16Canterbury Park?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0818/0911/0623/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength37%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20255th7/282%20%-0.62
18/09/20256th14/126%29%+0.02
11/06/20266th6/168%0%-0.68
23/07/20264th15/261%40%-0.21