4
Heavenly Destiny
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 44
Canterbury Park · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-02-16 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 10th | 13th | −3 |
| 2026-01-03 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 11th | 14th | −3 |
| 2025-12-14 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 10th | 13th | −3 |
| 2025-09-18 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 24/08/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/09/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 14/12/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/01/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 16/02/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 67% | -0.26 |