7
One Mor Rose
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 38
Canterbury Park · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-05-23 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Remington Park | ? | 11th | 14th | −3 |
| 2025-10-03 | Remington Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-08-14 | Canterbury Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 23/10/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |