Charmaine
5yo Mare · 10-1 · OR 82
Chester · Radnor Hills Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 63y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Kempton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Goodwood | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Doncaster | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Southwell | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Southwell | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 03/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 85% | +0.14 |
| 24/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.29 |
| 28/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 21/09/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 73% | -0.10 |