3

Kuredu King

4yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 80

Chester · Radnor Hills Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 63y

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Progressive staying handicapper for the Gosdens last summer who finished well held in a couple of hurdle starts for new yard. However, he ran well when fourth in a 2m handicap on return to the Flat here in May but didn't look to have the pace for 1¾m at Newmarket last time. Down further in trip now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength22%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chester 08/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 77 · 1m4f63y Gd 132 · beat its mark08/05/2025 · OR 77 par8/054OR 774 @ Haydock 30/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 76 · 1m3f175y Goo 127 · below its mark30/05/2025 · OR 76 par5 @ Haydock 04/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 74 · 1m3f140y Goo 135 · beat its mark04/07/2025 · OR 74 par4/075OR 744 @ Ascot 26/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 76 · 1m3f211y Goo 130 · beat its mark26/07/2025 · OR 76 par4 @ Yarmouth 18/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 76 · 1m6f17y GS 126 · beat its mark18/09/2025 · OR 76 par18/094OR 764 @ Huntingdon 11/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f171y Goo 1504 @ Sedgefield 10/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 2m178y Gd 15010/0444 @ Chester 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 82 · 1m7f196y Gd 139 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Newmarket 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 82 · 1m6f Goo 134 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 82 par20/064OR 82projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-20Newmarket43rd3rd0
2026-05-30Chester44th4th0
2026-04-10Sedgefield44th4th0
2026-03-11Huntingdon48th8th0
2025-09-18Yarmouth41st1st0
2025-07-26Ascot45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0526/0710/0420/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength55%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20254th9/153%50%-0.03
30/05/20259th33/10%11%+0.11
04/07/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
26/07/20255th4/179%33%-0.46
18/09/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
11/03/20268th20/10%50%+0.50
10/04/20264th7/163%25%-0.38
30/05/20264th33/10%63%+0.63
20/06/20263rd14/126%50%+0.24