7

Level Look

3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 78

Chester · Radnor Hills Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 63y

#6

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Left his first 2 runs behind to win 4-runner novice at Newcastle (1¼m) in January. Too keen on his return from 6 months off when last of 4 on his handicap debut at Newmarket (1½m, good to firm, 11/4) 16 days ago. Should still prove fully effective at this trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 01/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m Sta 1331/1255 @ Lingfield 22/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m1y Std 13322/1253 @ Newcastle 09/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 1m2f42y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS9/0134 @ Newmarket 17/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 80 · 1m4f GF 133 · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 80 par17/074OR 80projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Newmarket44th4th0
2026-01-09Newcastle31st0th+1
2025-12-22Lingfield54th5th1
2025-12-01Kempton510th11th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1222/129/0117/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength13%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/12/202510th80/10%0%0.00
22/12/20254th200/10%73%+0.73
09/01/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
17/07/20264th11/486%0%-0.86