4
Westerton
6yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 79
Chester · Radnor Hills Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 63y
#7
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Cartmel | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Newton Abbot | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-05-20 | Warwick | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-09-11 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Goodwood | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 06/06/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |
| 21/06/2025 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 43% | -0.48 |
| 02/08/2025 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 23/08/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 11/09/2025 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 11% | -0.71 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 53% | +0.27 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |