1

Pure Grit

2yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 85

Chester · British Stallion Studs EBF 'Confined' Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 17y

#1

Rank

Odds

1/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

100%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Pintaubo colt who cost €230,000 as a yearling. Encouragement second-placed finishes on both starts to date, knowing his job at Newmarket on debut and losing out only to a potentially-useful rival at C&D 64 days ago. Hard to oppose.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength34%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 15/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f Gd 13315/0542 @ Chester 30/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 6f17y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS30/052projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-30Chester22nd0th+2
2026-05-15Newbury42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0530/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20262nd8/158%89%+0.31
30/05/20262nd1/195%90%-0.05