4

Therewearethen

2yo Colt · 9-7

Chester · British Stallion Studs EBF 'Confined' Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 17y

#5

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Timeform

Commentary

Gleneagles colt who has finished well beaten on both starts to date.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.1 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 25/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f14y Sta 13325/0645 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f16y Std 13023/075projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Southwell510th11th1
2026-06-25Newcastle49th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0623/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/06/20269th25/10%0%0.00
23/07/202610th200/10%18%+0.18