7
Sirius A
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 98
Chester · Queensferry Stakes (Listed) · 6f 17y
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 23th | 24th | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newbury | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Wolverhampton | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Dundalk | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Kempton | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2025-07-25 | Ascot | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength28%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 14/06/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 06/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 25/07/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 06/09/2025 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 10/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 91% | +0.25 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |
| 19/06/2026 | 23rd | 33/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |