Song of The Clyde
3yo Colt · 9-4 · OR 108
Chester · Queensferry Stakes (Listed) · 6f 17y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Newbury | 1 | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newbury | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Newmarket | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Redcar | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Doncaster | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 95% | +0.29 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 16/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |