6

Khafiz

4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 92

Chester · Disney's High School Musical At Lowry Handicap · 7f 1y

#8

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Twice a winner in novice company over 7f for Roger Varian before going the wrong way for Ed Bethell after making a promising start this season at Haydock. Made the frame at York on yard debut last time though raced freely. Remains to be seen which way he goes from that.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 28/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f Sta 12928/0545 @ Doncaster 10/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f6y Goo 137C1 @ Deauville 10/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 94 · 7f209y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/08/2025 · OR 94 par10/08C1OR 942 @ Ayr 20/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 99 · 1m Sft 136 · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 99 par2 @ Doncaster 24/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 96 · 7f6y Sft 130 · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 96 par24/102OR 962 @ Haydock 25/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 97 · 7f37y Goo 130 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 97 par2 @ Ascot 09/05/2026 · Pos 25th of 28 · OR 97 · 7f Goo 132 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 97 par9/052OR 973 @ Doncaster 06/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 96 · 7f6y GF 136 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 96 par2 @ York 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 94 · 7f192y Goo 131 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 94 par11/072OR 94projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11York24th4th0
2026-06-06Doncaster311th12th1
2026-05-09Ascot225th25th0
2026-04-25Haydock25th5th0
2025-10-24Doncaster23rd3rd0
2025-09-20Ayr29th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0520/099/0511/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength15%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/05/20251st10/1195%100%+0.05
10/07/20251st1/499%100%+0.01
10/08/20257th9/153%45%-0.07
20/09/20259th15/261%38%-0.22
24/10/20253rd10/147%78%+0.30
25/04/20265th7/282%64%-0.18
09/05/202625th22/10%11%+0.11
06/06/202611th17/255%0%-0.55
11/07/20264th50/10%75%+0.75