2

The Strikin Viking

4yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 100

Chester · Disney's High School Musical At Lowry Handicap · 7f 1y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Timeform

Commentary

Useful gelding who landed Group 3 at Baden-Baden (6f) last summer. Below form since, failing to beat a single rival on his last 2 runs. Arrives with questions to answer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength46%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.1
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Goodwood 01/08/2024 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 109 · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2024 · OR 109 par1/081OR 1091 @ York 23/08/2024 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 109 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/08/2024 · OR 109 par1 @ Newmarket 11/10/2024 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 109 · 5f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/10/2024 · OR 109 par11/101OR 109C1 @ Chantilly 14/04/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 106 · 5f102y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/04/2025 · OR 106 par2 @ Newmarket 10/07/2025 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR 103 · 6f GF 134 · below its mark10/07/2025 · OR 103 par10/072OR 1031 @ Chester 03/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 100 · 6f17y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/08/2025 · OR 100 parC0 @ Woodbine 04/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 109 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 109 par4/10C?OR 109C1 @ Meydan 30/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 109 · 6f Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/01/2026 · OR 109 par2 @ Pontefract 07/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 104 · 6f Goo 142 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 104 par7/072OR 104projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07Pontefract26th6th0
2026-01-30Meydan?10th9th+1
2025-10-04Woodbine?4th2nd+2
2025-08-03Chester13rd2nd+1
2025-07-10Newmarket213th13th0
2025-04-14Chantilly?8th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0814/044/107/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength40%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20242nd11/1094%88%-0.07
23/08/20249th7/282%11%-0.70
11/10/20247th9/276%40%-0.36
14/04/20258th9/153%22%-0.30
10/07/202513th33/10%25%+0.25
03/08/20253rd25/10%75%+0.75
04/10/20254th13/266%50%-0.16
30/01/202610th10/147%31%-0.17
07/07/20266th12/137%0%-0.37