5
Calyxoh
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 72
Chester · J20 Classified Claiming Stakes · 7f 127y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Newcastle | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Chester | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Carlisle | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Chester | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Meydan | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Meydan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength38%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 73% | -0.17 |
| 18/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 16/01/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 17% | +0.11 |
| 06/02/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 06/03/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.00 |
| 12/06/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 25/07/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |