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3

I Still Have Faith

6yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 81

Chester · J20 Classified Claiming Stakes · 7f 127y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

On a long losing run but has shaped well on occasions, going close twice on the all-weather in the spring. Has been below best on last 3 outings, though, and tendency to pull hard remains a concern.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Kempton 04/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 84 · 1m Sta 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/02/2026 · OR 84 par4/023OR 844 @ Southwell 20/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 83 · 7f14y Std 134 · beat its mark20/02/2026 · OR 83 par4 @ Wolverhampton 20/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 84 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 84 par20/034OR 843 @ Lingfield 03/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 84 · 1m1y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 84 par3 @ Newmarket 02/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 86 · 1m GF 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 86 par2/053OR 863 @ Newmarket 16/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 85 · 7f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 85 par3 @ Newbury 11/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 85 · 7f GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 85 par11/063OR 853 @ Newmarket 25/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 83 · 7f Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 83 par4 @ Newmarket 18/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 82 · 7f GF 135 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 82 par18/074OR 82projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Newmarket45th5th0
2026-06-25Newmarket36th5th+1
2026-06-11Newbury310th9th+1
2026-05-16Newmarket34th3rd+1
2026-05-02Newmarket35th4th+1
2026-04-03Lingfield32nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/023/0411/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/02/20268th33/10%22%+0.22
20/02/20262nd11/142%91%+0.49
20/03/20266th7/163%44%-0.19
03/04/20262nd22/10%91%+0.91
02/05/20265th17/255%67%+0.11
16/05/20264th11/271%70%-0.01
11/06/202610th15/261%36%-0.25
25/06/20266th12/137%38%+0.01
18/07/20265th4/179%33%-0.46