7
Oman
8yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 71
Chester · Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Chester | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Chester | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Goodwood | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Lingfield | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Chester | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 26/01/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 89% | +0.31 |
| 28/02/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 14% | -0.41 |
| 08/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 70% | -0.17 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 06/07/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 11% | -0.63 |