Saligo Bay
8yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 77
Chester · Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Cartmel | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Musselburgh | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-01-16 | Windsor | 2 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2025-12-20 | Haydock | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-11-15 | Wetherby | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Wetherby | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 15/10/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 15/11/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/12/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 16/01/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 31/01/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 18/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |