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2

Secret Beach

5yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 79

Chester · Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 70y

#2

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A dual winner for Ben Brookhouse in 2025. Proving inconsistent thus far for current yard, though registered marginally his best effort of the campaign dropped back in trip when second of 7 over C&D (good to firm) 8 days ago. Every chance if building on that.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Windsor 14/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m3f99y GF 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/08/2025 · OR 77 par14/083OR 774 @ Chester 13/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 77 · 1m4f63y GS 163 · beat its mark13/09/2025 · OR 77 par4 @ Newmarket 25/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 79 · 1m4f Goo 136 · beat its mark25/09/2025 · OR 79 par25/094OR 793 @ Newbury 17/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 2m69y Goo 158 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Nottingham 08/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 81 · 1m2f50y Goo 131 · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 81 par8/044OR 814 @ Chester 08/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 80 · 1m4f63y Goo 138 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Carlisle 24/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 80 · 1m3f39y GF 138 · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 80 par24/064OR 804 @ York 10/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 79 · 1m3f188y Goo 140 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Chester 25/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 78 · 1m2f70y Goo 135 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 78 par25/074OR 78projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Chester42nd2nd0
2026-07-10York44th4th0
2026-06-24Carlisle47th7th0
2026-05-08Chester45th5th0
2026-04-08Nottingham49th9th0
2025-12-17Newbury38th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0817/1224/0625/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20254th15/261%63%+0.02
13/09/20252nd4/179%88%+0.09
25/09/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
17/12/20258th22/10%42%+0.42
08/04/20269th33/10%11%+0.11
08/05/20265th25/10%71%+0.71
24/06/20267th33/10%33%+0.33
10/07/20264th28/10%67%+0.67
25/07/20262nd15/261%83%+0.23