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5

Tiger

4yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 75

Chester · Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 70y

#3

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Still searching for first win on these shores but again ran well when second of 6 in handicap at Doncaster 7 weeks ago, pulling a little way clear of the rest. Sometimes slowly away, though he can remain competitive. 1 of 2 for this yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength66%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Angers 26/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 12526/04C5C0 @ Saint-Cloud 03/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1194 @ Newbury 20/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 83 · 1m Goo 133 · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 83 par20/094OR 832 @ York 10/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 80 · 1m2f56y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/10/2025 · OR 80 par3 @ Newbury 25/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 77 · 1m2f Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 77 par25/103OR 772 @ Southwell 28/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 76 · 1m4f14y Std 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/11/2025 · OR 76 par4 @ Nottingham 09/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 75 · 1m75y Goo 125 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 75 par9/054OR 754 @ Goodwood 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 75 · 1m3f218y GS 132 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Doncaster 14/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 73 · 1m3f197y Goo 140 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 73 par14/065OR 73projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-14Doncaster52nd3rd−1
2026-06-05Goodwood44th4th0
2026-05-09Nottingham46th6th0
2025-11-28Southwell24th2nd+2
2025-10-25Newbury33rd2nd+1
2025-10-10York26th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0410/109/0514/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/04/20254th9/276%57%-0.19
03/06/202510th11/142%0%-0.42
20/09/20257th40/10%57%+0.57
10/10/20256th40/10%29%+0.29
25/10/20253rd22/10%83%+0.83
28/11/20254th17/255%50%-0.05
09/05/20266th16/116%50%+0.34
05/06/20264th4/179%63%-0.16
14/06/20262nd11/893%80%-0.13