7
Siouxse
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 93
Colonial Downs · Race 4 - Allowance · 1m 2f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 15/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |