7

Light Of Dawn

2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 100

Deauville · Prix De Cabourg - Fonds Europeen De L'elevage (group 3) · 5f 212y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Carlisle 08/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 5f182y Sft 1288/0621 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 25 · OR - · 6f GF 12819/061projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-19Royal Ascot13rd3rd0
2026-06-08Carlisle21st3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0619/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/06/20261st5/696%100%+0.04
19/06/20263rd11/142%92%+0.50