3
Alem
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Deauville · Grand Handicap Des Sprinters - World Pool By Pmu · 5f 212y
#12
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | La Teste De Buch | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Craon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 18
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 05/08/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 29/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 28/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |